I just finished reading a16z’s 2025 State of Crypto report and would like to share some key data and thoughts: 1) The annual transaction volume of stablecoins has reached 46 trillion US dollars, which is three times that of Visa. Even if we remove noise data such as robots, it is still 9 trillion US dollars, which is still 5 times that of Paypal. This means that stablecoins are no longer simply competing with a single payment company; they are reshaping the entire dollar system. This explains the sudden shift in the US government's stance on crypto: they recognize that stablecoins are a digital weapon to consolidate the dollar's hegemony. It also explains why Tether is building Plasma and Stable, and why Paypal is supporting KiteAI in developing AI payment infrastructure. These are all driven by competition and confrontation. 2) Cryptocurrency institutional adoption is booming: ETF holdings of BTC and ETH have reached $175 billion, a 169% year-over-year increase. Traditional finance and tech giants like Visa, BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, and Stripe are all entering the market. This turn of events was somewhat unexpected. With the passage of the GENIUS Act and Circle's billion-dollar IPO, the market landscape has completely reversed from one where crypto was trying to break out of the market to one where traditional finance was actively entering the market to compete for a niche. 3) Usage differentiation between emerging markets and developed markets: Argentina’s wallet usage has increased 16 times in three years, while South Korea and Australia focus on MEME speculation. It's interesting that small and medium-sized developing countries are attracted to Crypto's "anti-inflation + cross-border payment" features just to make a living, while developed countries are attracted to its "high volatility + arbitrage opportunities" speculative properties. Obviously, the former is the real mass adoption; 4) Accelerated integration of AI and Crypto: Protocols such as x402 provide payment standards for AI agents. It is predicted that the AI agent economy will reach 30 trillion US dollars in 2030. This data sounds exaggerated, but the recent performance of nof1 Arena has made everyone realize that the power generated by AI Agents' autonomous custody of assets and autonomous execution of transactions is so great. 5) The on-chain economy is in full bloom: DEX accounts for 20% of spot trading volume, perpetual contracts have increased 8 times annually, the RWA market is US$30 billion, and DePIN is expected to reach US$3.5 trillion in 2028. Cryptocurrency is evolving from pure financial speculation to real-world applications. RWAs are injecting real-world business revenue into the blockchain to generate interest, while DePINs are using tokens to reconstruct physical infrastructure. This trend indicates that internal cycles relying solely on token subsidies are failing. Instead, sustainable business models that rely on protocol monetization, token buybacks (dividends for holders), and robust on-chain financial management are maturing. This will also be a crucial consideration for selecting future value targets. 6) Prediction Market + Privacy Technology: Polymarket/Kalshi transaction volume increased fivefold, approaching historical highs. Privacy coins such as Zcash and Railgun are leading ZK technology back to the mainstream. Many people assumed the prediction market would cool down after the election, but trading volume actually surged fivefold in 2025. This demonstrates that prediction markets aren't just about betting on the election; they're becoming a new way to uncover true market expectations. From sporting events to economic indicators, and especially in the pre-market cryptocurrency market, any event with uncertainty can be priced in. The resurgence of privacy through regulatory compliance may also create new opportunities for ZK technology to return to the mainstream. Note: The above only extracts the important data and content that I am interested in. The original text also covers many topics such as Ethereum's L2 strategy, the rise of the Solana ecosystem, and the transformation of the NFT market. If you are interested, you can read the full report.I just finished reading a16z’s 2025 State of Crypto report and would like to share some key data and thoughts: 1) The annual transaction volume of stablecoins has reached 46 trillion US dollars, which is three times that of Visa. Even if we remove noise data such as robots, it is still 9 trillion US dollars, which is still 5 times that of Paypal. This means that stablecoins are no longer simply competing with a single payment company; they are reshaping the entire dollar system. This explains the sudden shift in the US government's stance on crypto: they recognize that stablecoins are a digital weapon to consolidate the dollar's hegemony. It also explains why Tether is building Plasma and Stable, and why Paypal is supporting KiteAI in developing AI payment infrastructure. These are all driven by competition and confrontation. 2) Cryptocurrency institutional adoption is booming: ETF holdings of BTC and ETH have reached $175 billion, a 169% year-over-year increase. Traditional finance and tech giants like Visa, BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, and Stripe are all entering the market. This turn of events was somewhat unexpected. With the passage of the GENIUS Act and Circle's billion-dollar IPO, the market landscape has completely reversed from one where crypto was trying to break out of the market to one where traditional finance was actively entering the market to compete for a niche. 3) Usage differentiation between emerging markets and developed markets: Argentina’s wallet usage has increased 16 times in three years, while South Korea and Australia focus on MEME speculation. It's interesting that small and medium-sized developing countries are attracted to Crypto's "anti-inflation + cross-border payment" features just to make a living, while developed countries are attracted to its "high volatility + arbitrage opportunities" speculative properties. Obviously, the former is the real mass adoption; 4) Accelerated integration of AI and Crypto: Protocols such as x402 provide payment standards for AI agents. It is predicted that the AI agent economy will reach 30 trillion US dollars in 2030. This data sounds exaggerated, but the recent performance of nof1 Arena has made everyone realize that the power generated by AI Agents' autonomous custody of assets and autonomous execution of transactions is so great. 5) The on-chain economy is in full bloom: DEX accounts for 20% of spot trading volume, perpetual contracts have increased 8 times annually, the RWA market is US$30 billion, and DePIN is expected to reach US$3.5 trillion in 2028. Cryptocurrency is evolving from pure financial speculation to real-world applications. RWAs are injecting real-world business revenue into the blockchain to generate interest, while DePINs are using tokens to reconstruct physical infrastructure. This trend indicates that internal cycles relying solely on token subsidies are failing. Instead, sustainable business models that rely on protocol monetization, token buybacks (dividends for holders), and robust on-chain financial management are maturing. This will also be a crucial consideration for selecting future value targets. 6) Prediction Market + Privacy Technology: Polymarket/Kalshi transaction volume increased fivefold, approaching historical highs. Privacy coins such as Zcash and Railgun are leading ZK technology back to the mainstream. Many people assumed the prediction market would cool down after the election, but trading volume actually surged fivefold in 2025. This demonstrates that prediction markets aren't just about betting on the election; they're becoming a new way to uncover true market expectations. From sporting events to economic indicators, and especially in the pre-market cryptocurrency market, any event with uncertainty can be priced in. The resurgence of privacy through regulatory compliance may also create new opportunities for ZK technology to return to the mainstream. Note: The above only extracts the important data and content that I am interested in. The original text also covers many topics such as Ethereum's L2 strategy, the rise of the Solana ecosystem, and the transformation of the NFT market. If you are interested, you can read the full report.

Key Crypto Market Data for 2025: From Speculation to Survival, Web3 is Going Mainstream

2025/10/23 16:00

I just finished reading a16z’s 2025 State of Crypto report and would like to share some key data and thoughts:

1) The annual transaction volume of stablecoins has reached 46 trillion US dollars, which is three times that of Visa. Even if we remove noise data such as robots, it is still 9 trillion US dollars, which is still 5 times that of Paypal.

This means that stablecoins are no longer simply competing with a single payment company; they are reshaping the entire dollar system. This explains the sudden shift in the US government's stance on crypto: they recognize that stablecoins are a digital weapon to consolidate the dollar's hegemony. It also explains why Tether is building Plasma and Stable, and why Paypal is supporting KiteAI in developing AI payment infrastructure. These are all driven by competition and confrontation.

2) Cryptocurrency institutional adoption is booming: ETF holdings of BTC and ETH have reached $175 billion, a 169% year-over-year increase. Traditional finance and tech giants like Visa, BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, and Stripe are all entering the market.

This turn of events was somewhat unexpected. With the passage of the GENIUS Act and Circle's billion-dollar IPO, the market landscape has completely reversed from one where crypto was trying to break out of the market to one where traditional finance was actively entering the market to compete for a niche.

3) Usage differentiation between emerging markets and developed markets: Argentina’s wallet usage has increased 16 times in three years, while South Korea and Australia focus on MEME speculation.

It's interesting that small and medium-sized developing countries are attracted to Crypto's "anti-inflation + cross-border payment" features just to make a living, while developed countries are attracted to its "high volatility + arbitrage opportunities" speculative properties. Obviously, the former is the real mass adoption;

4) Accelerated integration of AI and Crypto: Protocols such as x402 provide payment standards for AI agents. It is predicted that the AI agent economy will reach 30 trillion US dollars in 2030.

This data sounds exaggerated, but the recent performance of nof1 Arena has made everyone realize that the power generated by AI Agents' autonomous custody of assets and autonomous execution of transactions is so great.

5) The on-chain economy is in full bloom: DEX accounts for 20% of spot trading volume, perpetual contracts have increased 8 times annually, the RWA market is US$30 billion, and DePIN is expected to reach US$3.5 trillion in 2028.

Cryptocurrency is evolving from pure financial speculation to real-world applications. RWAs are injecting real-world business revenue into the blockchain to generate interest, while DePINs are using tokens to reconstruct physical infrastructure. This trend indicates that internal cycles relying solely on token subsidies are failing. Instead, sustainable business models that rely on protocol monetization, token buybacks (dividends for holders), and robust on-chain financial management are maturing. This will also be a crucial consideration for selecting future value targets.

6) Prediction Market + Privacy Technology: Polymarket/Kalshi transaction volume increased fivefold, approaching historical highs. Privacy coins such as Zcash and Railgun are leading ZK technology back to the mainstream.

Many people assumed the prediction market would cool down after the election, but trading volume actually surged fivefold in 2025. This demonstrates that prediction markets aren't just about betting on the election; they're becoming a new way to uncover true market expectations. From sporting events to economic indicators, and especially in the pre-market cryptocurrency market, any event with uncertainty can be priced in. The resurgence of privacy through regulatory compliance may also create new opportunities for ZK technology to return to the mainstream.

Note: The above only extracts the important data and content that I am interested in. The original text also covers many topics such as Ethereum's L2 strategy, the rise of the Solana ecosystem, and the transformation of the NFT market. If you are interested, you can read the full report.

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

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Is the crypto market crash ending, or is this a dead-cat bounce?

Is the crypto market crash ending, or is this a dead-cat bounce?

The crypto market crash eased during the weekend as investors bought the recent dip, and as American stocks rebounded from their Thursday crash. Bitcoin price rose to $86,500 from last week’s low of $80,000. Other top cryptocurrencies were also in the green, with Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Chainlink rising by over 3% in the last 24 hours. As a result, the market cap of all coins is nearing the important milestone of $3 trillion. So, is this the end of the recent crypto crash or is it a dead-cat bounce?Top cryptocurrencies rebounded todayWhy the crypto market is going up todayBitcoin and most altcoins are rising today, Nov. 23, for several reasons. First, there are signs that investors are buying the dip after most coins moved to the oversold levels. It is common for tokens to bounce back whenever this happens as investors buy the dip.Second, cryptocurrencies are going up as investors start deploying leverage again. Data compiled by CoinGlass shows that the futures open interest rose by nearly 4% on Sunday morning to $126 billion. Rising open interest is often a good thing as it points to more demand among investors. Third, there was less forced selling pressure in the market as liquidations tumbled. Total liquidations dropped by 88% in the last 24 hours to $208 million. Data shows that 115k traders were liquidated in the same period, with the biggest one being a $3 million HYPE trade on Hyperliquid. The falling liquidations is a good thing because the recent surge partially explains why Bitcoin and most altcoins tumbled.However, it is worth noting that liquidation data often plunge during the weekend when many people are not trading. The crypto market rally is also happening as traders wait for more altcoin ETF launches. Some notable listings to watch will be on coins like XRP and Dogecoin. These launches come as data shows that the there is robust demand for altcoin ETFs.Is this the end of the crypto crash?Bitcoin price has jumped by 7.3% from its lowest level this year, while other tokens like Ether and Solana have done better. The main risk is that this rebound is a dead-cat bounce (DCB). A DCB is a situation where an asset in a freefall bounces back briefly and then resumes the downtrend. It is often known as a bull trap because it mostly affects retail investors.One way to avoid being caught up in a dead-cat bounce is to wait for Bitcoin to move above key moving averages. Also, one can wait for the formation of a pattern like a double-bottom to confirm that a new bull run is happening.Still, there are signs that the end of the ongoing crypto market crash is near. For one, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index remains in the extreme fear zone of 11. Historically, most crypto bull runs start when there is a sense of fear in the market.Also, there are signs that whales are aggressively buying the dip. A good example of this is Michael Saylor’s Strategy, which spent over $800 million in accumulation last week. He has hinted that he continued buying the dip. Tom Lee’s BitMine has also continued buying Ethereum in the past few weeks. In his statement, he argues that the ongoing sell-off is part of volatility, which is a normal part of the crypto market. The post Is the crypto market crash ending, or is this a dead-cat bounce? appeared first on Invezz
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Coinstats2025/11/23 13:20