JPMorgan Flags Shift in Bitcoin ETF Flows as Market Stabilizes

TLDR

• JPMorgan analysts observed a shift in crypto ETF flows from consistent redemptions to a two-way pattern in early January.
• Bitcoin ETFs recorded $697.25 million in inflows on January 5, followed by $243 million in outflows on January 7.
• The flow change indicates a move from forced reductions to tactical rotations, according to JPMorgan’s latest update.
• Ethereum followed the broader market trend and declined by 4.54 percent to trade at $3,100.
• JPMorgan’s view separates October’s leverage unwind from November’s ETF-driven selling by retail investors.

JPMorgan analysts now see early signs of stabilization in crypto ETF flows, pointing to a shift from persistent redemptions. After months of late 2025 ETF outflows, early January flow data now reflect a mix of inflows and outflows. This change supports JPMorgan’s view that the correction was driven by positioning, not structural breakdowns.

JPMorgan Sees Tactical Rotation in Bitcoin

Bitcoin flows have reversed course, as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $697.25 million net inflows on January 5. Two days later, on January 7, the same ETFs posted $243 million in net outflows, showing an alternating pattern. This shift marks a move away from sustained selling toward two-way positioning.

JPMorgan analysts interpret this as a “tactical rotation” phase rather than a “forced reduction” one that defined late 2025. The shift improves liquidity and narrows intraday trading ranges, supporting better bid strength in derivatives markets. This dynamic also aligns with improved funding conditions in BTC perpetual contracts.

Bitcoin is now trading at $90,428, reflecting a 2.50% daily decline. However, the evolving ETF flows may soften continued pressure if the two-way trend holds. “Desks can hedge more cleanly via basis and options,” JPMorgan noted in their latest update.

Ethereum Tracks Broader Sentiment as Risk Shifts

Ethereum followed the broader crypto trend and is currently trading at $3,100, down 4.54% in the latest trading session. Its performance tracks investor repositioning after a prolonged ETF-driven de-risking period in Q4 2025. The renewed ETF behavior now allows for more structured risk exposure.

JPMorgan’s framework distinguishes between October’s perp leverage reduction and November’s ETF-led selling. This view suggests non-crypto retail investors dominated the ETF redemptions, separating it from crypto-native flows. Therefore, the pressure was positioning-based, not a result of market failure.

This reset comes as MSCI announced it would delay decisions on digital-asset treasury companies (DATCO) in its indexes. Shares of Strategy (MSTR) rose after the update, easing concerns about forced passive selling. The delay offers short-term relief to traditional allocators exposed to crypto proxy equities.

JPMorgan believes this shift could strengthen short-term correlations across BTC spot, CME basis, and ETF flow momentum. MSCI’s decision, expected in February, may further influence systematic equity behavior. If DATCOs remain in benchmarks, equity flows may stop acting as an indirect sell trigger for crypto assets.

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