SEI has lost over 4% in value in the last 24 hours, falling back to the 0.07 dollar level, with RSI at 32 giving an oversold signal; however, under Bitcoin’s downtrend pressure, is this a bottom fishing opportunity or a harbinger of deeper declines?
Market Outlook and Current Situation
SEI is trading in a clear downtrend on the daily timeframe and has stabilized around the current price of 0.07 dollars. The token, which has seen a 4.12% decline in the last 24 hours and is trading in the 0.07-0.08 dollar range, continues to attract market attention with a volume of 29.75 million dollars. Although this volume level is relatively low compared to previous days, it indicates intensifying selling pressure. With a negative atmosphere prevailing in the overall crypto market led by Bitcoin, SEI remaining below its EMA20 (0.08 dollars) reinforces the short-term bearish trend.
Looking at multi-timeframe (MTF) confluence, we detect a total of 10 strong levels across the 1D, 3D, and 1W timeframes: 2 supports/3 resistances on 1D, 2 supports/1 resistance on 3D, and 2 supports/2 resistances on 1W. This confluence highlights the fragility of SEI’s current consolidation. With no significant news flow, price movements are entirely dictated by technical factors. Investors can follow more detailed data through SEI spot analyses.
We are in a period where altcoins are weak against Bitcoin dominance overall. SEI’s downtrend reflects the high volatility of recent weeks; however, the Supertrend indicator’s bearish signal indicates that optimism is premature until it breaks the 0.09 dollar resistance. In this context, potential increases in volume will play a key role in trend reversal.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support Zones
The most critical support level stands out at 0.0657 dollars (strength score: 67/100); this level shows confluence on 1D and 3D timeframes, representing one of the recent bottom tests. Below it, 0.0717 dollars (65/100) could act as a secondary support, but with current momentum, even this level is likely to be tested. In MTF analysis, these supports also echo on the weekly chart and could prepare the ground for recovery in the event of a high-volume defense. Historically, SEI has reacted after 10-15% pullbacks at such supports; however, the current low volume increases the breakout risk.
Resistance Barriers
The first resistance is positioned at 0.0727 dollars (66/100); this is the upper band of the last 24-hour range and a confluence point near EMA20. Further up, 0.0777 dollars (66/100) and the distant target of 0.1379 dollars (64/100) should be monitored. The Supertrend’s 0.09 dollar resistance is key to the bearish trend. Breaking these barriers requires a clear volume increase and positive divergence; otherwise, a short squeeze scenario is low probability.
Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength
RSI at 32.39 is approaching the oversold zone, signaling potential recovery; however, in a downtrend, such signals often lead to fakeouts. Although a positive histogram formation on MACD suggests bullish divergence, remaining below the signal line confirms that trend strength is still bearish. In the EMA hierarchy, the price being below EMA20 (0.08 dollars) indicates short-term weakness, while the distance to EMA50 and EMA200 reinforces the medium-term downtrend.
The Supertrend indicator is in bearish mode, emphasizing the 0.09 dollar resistance, while ADX (Average Directional Index) shows declining trend strength (around 25). This increases the likelihood of sideways consolidation or a sharp breakout. Bollinger Bands contraction reflects volatility squeeze; a directional move is expected with band expansion. These indicators are critically important for leverage positions via SEI futures.
Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook
In terms of risk/reward ratio, the bullish target at 0.1009 dollars (score 25) is 44% above the current price, while the bearish target at 0.0339 dollars (score 22) is 51% below, offering an approximately 1:1 R/R balance. In a positive scenario, breaking the 0.0727 resistance could gain momentum toward 0.10 dollars, but on the negative side, losing the 0.0657 support could lead to 0.03 levels. Volume increases and RSI divergence should be monitored for long opportunities; however, the overall downtrend keeps volatility high.
The trading outlook is cautiously optimistic: Oversold RSI and MACD histogram may attract bottom fishers, but Bitcoin correlation dominates. Stop-losses should be set 1-2% below supports, take-profits according to resistances. Market makers’ liquidity hunt risk is high; therefore, low leverage is recommended.
Bitcoin Correlation
SEI shows high correlation to Bitcoin among altcoins (around 0.85); BTC’s current level of 66,859 dollars and -1.96% daily decline directly fuels SEI’s downtrend. BTC Supertrend bearish signal is a red flag for altcoins; if supports at 65,143, 62,910, and 60,000 dollars break, chain reaction selling could trigger in SEI. Conversely, if BTC breaks resistances at 67,962, 70,598, or 77,303 dollars, SEI could recover, but the current BTC downtrend prevents altcoin rotation.
This correlation requires SEI investors to prioritize monitoring BTC levels; for example, if BTC drops below 65k, SEI could test the 0.0657 support. Rising dominance crushes altcoins, while BTC stabilization creates breathing room for SEI.
This analysis uses Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal’s market views and methodology.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/sei-technical-analysis-february-19-2026-support-resistance-and-market-commentary
