Over the years, a number of indicators have emerged that have helped to pinpoint the Bitcoin price top for each bull cycle. These have become quite popular due to their success rates during this time. As such, the Coinglass website collates all of these to form a progress chart that could tell when the Bitcoin price is nearing its peak. This progress chart is barely halfway gone, but the Bitcoin price is seeing major crashes, so what’s going on? Bull Market Peak Indicators Remain Untriggered A total of 30 Bitcoin bull market peak indicators are being tracked on the Coinglass website, and so far, not a single one has been triggered. This means that none of these 30 indicators point to the Bitcoin price already reaching its peak. This suggests that there is still more runway for the digital asset before it hits the cycle peak and begins the next decline into the bear market; thus, the tracker remains firmly in “Hold” territory. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Crash To $87,000 If This Happens For example, the Bitcoin Dominance indicator is very high, sitting at 92.76%, very close to being triggered, but remains untouched. This comes while the Bitcoin dominance over the rest of the altcoin market remains high above 60%, but still below the 65% score required for the indicator to be triggered.. Another major indicator is the Bitcoin long-term holder supply, which tracks the rate at which long-term holders are dumping BTC. This indicator is often triggered when long-term holder supply falls below 13.5 million BTC, but at the time of this report, it is still sitting above 15 million BTC. Short-term holder supply is another indicator that also remains relatively low at this point. For this indicator to be triggered, the short-term holder supply needs to rise above 30% of the supply. However, it is sitting at less than 25%, suggesting that Bitcoin long-term holders are still dominating the market. Sell-Offs Are Dominating Bitcoin While the Bitcoin peak indicators remain untriggered and point toward a time to hold, it has not stopped the massive sell-offs that have been rocking the cryptocurrency. Over the last few weeks, reports have emerged of early Bitcoin whales dumping billions of dollars of BTC on the market. Related Reading: Here’s Why Dogecoin And Shiba Inu Prices Are Crashing, Is A Recovery Possible? Bitcoinist reported that between October and November, two early Bitcoin whales had sold more than $1.7 billion worth of BTC in a matter of weeks. These sell-offs had added to the initial bearish pressure that pushed the Bitcoin price down toward $100,000. Then, earlier this week, reports emerged of another OG whale who dumped 10,000 BTC, worth over $1 billion on the market. Given these, it seems that Bitcoin is not waiting for the cycle peak indicators to trigger before rallying. The whales are already pushing what looks to be a premature bear market with the massive sell-offs. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.comOver the years, a number of indicators have emerged that have helped to pinpoint the Bitcoin price top for each bull cycle. These have become quite popular due to their success rates during this time. As such, the Coinglass website collates all of these to form a progress chart that could tell when the Bitcoin price is nearing its peak. This progress chart is barely halfway gone, but the Bitcoin price is seeing major crashes, so what’s going on? Bull Market Peak Indicators Remain Untriggered A total of 30 Bitcoin bull market peak indicators are being tracked on the Coinglass website, and so far, not a single one has been triggered. This means that none of these 30 indicators point to the Bitcoin price already reaching its peak. This suggests that there is still more runway for the digital asset before it hits the cycle peak and begins the next decline into the bear market; thus, the tracker remains firmly in “Hold” territory. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Crash To $87,000 If This Happens For example, the Bitcoin Dominance indicator is very high, sitting at 92.76%, very close to being triggered, but remains untouched. This comes while the Bitcoin dominance over the rest of the altcoin market remains high above 60%, but still below the 65% score required for the indicator to be triggered.. Another major indicator is the Bitcoin long-term holder supply, which tracks the rate at which long-term holders are dumping BTC. This indicator is often triggered when long-term holder supply falls below 13.5 million BTC, but at the time of this report, it is still sitting above 15 million BTC. Short-term holder supply is another indicator that also remains relatively low at this point. For this indicator to be triggered, the short-term holder supply needs to rise above 30% of the supply. However, it is sitting at less than 25%, suggesting that Bitcoin long-term holders are still dominating the market. Sell-Offs Are Dominating Bitcoin While the Bitcoin peak indicators remain untriggered and point toward a time to hold, it has not stopped the massive sell-offs that have been rocking the cryptocurrency. Over the last few weeks, reports have emerged of early Bitcoin whales dumping billions of dollars of BTC on the market. Related Reading: Here’s Why Dogecoin And Shiba Inu Prices Are Crashing, Is A Recovery Possible? Bitcoinist reported that between October and November, two early Bitcoin whales had sold more than $1.7 billion worth of BTC in a matter of weeks. These sell-offs had added to the initial bearish pressure that pushed the Bitcoin price down toward $100,000. Then, earlier this week, reports emerged of another OG whale who dumped 10,000 BTC, worth over $1 billion on the market. Given these, it seems that Bitcoin is not waiting for the cycle peak indicators to trigger before rallying. The whales are already pushing what looks to be a premature bear market with the massive sell-offs. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin Bull Market Peak Indicators Says Hold Despite Crash Below $100,000, What’s Happening?

2025/11/07 20:00

Over the years, a number of indicators have emerged that have helped to pinpoint the Bitcoin price top for each bull cycle. These have become quite popular due to their success rates during this time. As such, the Coinglass website collates all of these to form a progress chart that could tell when the Bitcoin price is nearing its peak. This progress chart is barely halfway gone, but the Bitcoin price is seeing major crashes, so what’s going on?

Bull Market Peak Indicators Remain Untriggered

A total of 30 Bitcoin bull market peak indicators are being tracked on the Coinglass website, and so far, not a single one has been triggered. This means that none of these 30 indicators point to the Bitcoin price already reaching its peak. This suggests that there is still more runway for the digital asset before it hits the cycle peak and begins the next decline into the bear market; thus, the tracker remains firmly in “Hold” territory.

For example, the Bitcoin Dominance indicator is very high, sitting at 92.76%, very close to being triggered, but remains untouched. This comes while the Bitcoin dominance over the rest of the altcoin market remains high above 60%, but still below the 65% score required for the indicator to be triggered..

Another major indicator is the Bitcoin long-term holder supply, which tracks the rate at which long-term holders are dumping BTC. This indicator is often triggered when long-term holder supply falls below 13.5 million BTC, but at the time of this report, it is still sitting above 15 million BTC.

Short-term holder supply is another indicator that also remains relatively low at this point. For this indicator to be triggered, the short-term holder supply needs to rise above 30% of the supply. However, it is sitting at less than 25%, suggesting that Bitcoin long-term holders are still dominating the market.

Sell-Offs Are Dominating Bitcoin

While the Bitcoin peak indicators remain untriggered and point toward a time to hold, it has not stopped the massive sell-offs that have been rocking the cryptocurrency. Over the last few weeks, reports have emerged of early Bitcoin whales dumping billions of dollars of BTC on the market.

Bitcoinist reported that between October and November, two early Bitcoin whales had sold more than $1.7 billion worth of BTC in a matter of weeks. These sell-offs had added to the initial bearish pressure that pushed the Bitcoin price down toward $100,000. Then, earlier this week, reports emerged of another OG whale who dumped 10,000 BTC, worth over $1 billion on the market.

Given these, it seems that Bitcoin is not waiting for the cycle peak indicators to trigger before rallying. The whales are already pushing what looks to be a premature bear market with the massive sell-offs.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Weekly Crypto Regulation Roundup: From Samourai’s Courtroom Reckoning to Mamdani’s Win and Lummis’ Bitcoin Push

Weekly Crypto Regulation Roundup: From Samourai’s Courtroom Reckoning to Mamdani’s Win and Lummis’ Bitcoin Push

The week in crypto regulation was a rollercoaster, marked by courtroom drama, political shifts, and high-level debates about the future of Bitcoin in government policy. From the Samourai Wallet founders facing prison to Zohran Mamdani’s win, which could mean stricter rules in New York City, the global conversation around digital assets continues to evolve at the intersection of finance, politics, and technology. Samourai Wallet Founders Face Prison in U.S. Crackdown U.S. prosecutors are seeking the maximum five-year prison term for Samourai Wallet co-founders Keonne Rodriguez and William Lonergan Hill, accused of running an unlicensed money-transmitting business and facilitating large-scale money laundering. Authorities allege that the pair “repeatedly solicited and encouraged criminals” to use Samourai’s crypto-mixing features to conceal illicit proceeds. The case represents a defining moment in the government’s widening assault on privacy tools, drawing renewed concern from developers and advocates of open-source software who fear being targeted for simply building technology that enhances anonymity. The Department of Justice has increasingly equated privacy-enhancing services with financial crime, showing how regulators are expanding the scope of enforcement from centralized exchanges to code developers themselves. Zohran Mamdani’s NYC Mayoral Victory Could Tighten Crypto Oversight In New York City, Zohran Mamdani’s mayoral victory could reshape the city’s crypto policy sector. Known for supporting consumer protections following the collapses of FTX and Terra, Mamdani has also backed a moratorium on proof-of-work mining that uses on-site energy generation and floated the idea of a crypto transaction tax projected to generate over $158 million annually. His win—accurately predicted by Polymarket traders with 92% precision—indicates investor expectations for a more watchful regulatory tone. While crypto remains an increasingly visible part of New York’s economy, Mamdani’s stance suggests the city may prioritize environmental and consumer concerns over unfettered innovation. Meanwhile, the FMLS25 conference in London saw industry leaders debating how traditional finance (TradFi) and digital assets can coexist under stricter global frameworks—a fitting backdrop to New York’s shifting sentiment. Lummis Revives Debate on U.S. Bitcoin Reserve In Washington, Sen. Cynthia Lummis reignited debate by calling for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve to help offset the ballooning U.S. national debt. Lummis described the idea as “the only solution” capable of counterbalancing the country’s fiscal burden, arguing that Bitcoin’s long-term appreciation could strengthen the national balance sheet. She applauded President Trump’s openness to the idea and confirmed that the Treasury and White House are studying structural options beyond traditional gold revaluation. While still theoretical, such a move would mark a historic shift—embedding Bitcoin into the U.S. sovereign financial framework for the first time. Coinbase Faces Regulatory Fire in Europe and the U.S. Coinbase made headlines on two regulatory fronts this week. In Europe, the exchange’s Irish arm, Coinbase Europe Limited, was fined €21.5 million ($24.7 million) by the Central Bank of Ireland after a series of “critical compliance lapses” in its anti–money laundering systems. Between 2021 and 2022, roughly 31% of customer transactions—worth more than $200 billion—went unscreened due to coding failures, according to the Irish Independent. Across the Atlantic, Coinbase urged the U.S. Treasury Department to prevent regulatory overreach in implementing the GENIUS Act, warning that excessive rulemaking could stifle innovation and drive talent offshore. The company called for developers, validators, and open-source protocols to be excluded from regulatory classification, and proposed recognizing payment stablecoins as cash equivalents to simplify taxation and accounting. Coinbase’s dual battle shows the exchange’s precarious position as a bridge between compliance and innovation—a stance that increasingly defines the crypto industry’s regulatory identity. Trump’s Solana Gambit and Post-Election Reaction Amid political turbulence, President Donald Trump’s crypto initiative, World Liberty Financial (WLFI), announced a major expansion onto the Solana blockchain through partnerships with Bonk and Raydium. The move integrates WLFI’s USD1 stablecoin into Solana’s DeFi ecosystem, indicating the administration’s ongoing pivot toward blockchain-backed finance. A post on X described the initiative as part of a broader mission to “rebuild Solana”, emphasizing USD1’s role as a native settlement layer for traders and creators. The partnerships shows a renewed U.S. push to assert technological leadership in decentralized finance despite growing regulatory scrutiny. Following the elections, Trump claimed Democrats’ victories stemmed from his absence on the ballot—a statement that contrasts sharply with the momentum his digital-asset initiatives continue to build in Washington and beyond. The Week Ahead The past week showcased how crypto regulation now sits squarely within mainstream political and economic debate—from New York City’s progressive stance to Washington’s Bitcoin ambitions and Europe’s compliance crackdowns. As policymakers, developers, and institutions continue to collide, the defining question for the coming months will be: Can crypto’s decentralized ideals survive the realities of state power and financial governance
Share
CryptoNews2025/11/08 04:33