This paper explores how blockchain miners decide which transactions to include in limited-size blocks when future profits are discounted. By modeling the transaction fee mechanism (TFM) as an optimization problem similar to online buffer management in computer networks, it introduces new deterministic and randomized algorithms that outperform traditional methods in discounted settings. The study provides a theoretical framework for understanding miner incentives, showing how time preference and future uncertainty shape the economics of decentralized transaction processing.This paper explores how blockchain miners decide which transactions to include in limited-size blocks when future profits are discounted. By modeling the transaction fee mechanism (TFM) as an optimization problem similar to online buffer management in computer networks, it introduces new deterministic and randomized algorithms that outperform traditional methods in discounted settings. The study provides a theoretical framework for understanding miner incentives, showing how time preference and future uncertainty shape the economics of decentralized transaction processing.

Modeling Miner Incentives in Discounted Transaction Fee Mechanisms

2025/10/14 03:53

:::info Authors:

(1) Yotam Gafni, Weizmann Institute (yotam.gafni@gmail.com);

(2) Aviv Yaish, The Hebrew University, Jerusalem (aviv.yaish@mail.huji.ac.il).

:::

Abstract and 1. Introduction

1.1 Our Approach

1.2 Our Results & Roadmap

1.3 Related Work

  1. Model and Warmup and 2.1 Blockchain Model

    2.2 The Miner

    2.3 Game Model

    2.4 Warm Up: The Greedy Allocation Function

  2. The Deterministic Case and 3.1 Deterministic Upper Bound

    3.2 The Immediacy-Biased Class Of Allocation Function

  3. The Randomized Case

  4. Discussion and References

  • A. Missing Proofs for Sections 2, 3
  • B. Missing Proofs for Section 4
  • C. Glossary

Abstract

Decentralized cryptocurrencies are payment systems that rely on aligning the incentives of users and miners to operate correctly and offer a high quality of service to users. Recent literature studies the mechanism design problem of the auction serving as a cryptocurrency’s transaction fee mechanism (TFM).

\ We find that a non-myopic modelling of miners falls close to another well-known problem: that of online buffer management for packet switching. The main difference is that unlike packets which are of a fixed size throughout their lifetime, in a financial environment, user preferences (and therefore revenue extraction) may be time-dependent. We study the competitive ratio guarantees given a certain discount rate, and show how existing methods from packet scheduling, which we call “the undiscounted case”, perform suboptimally in the more general discounted setting. Most notably, we find a novel, simple, memoryless, and optimal deterministic algorithm for the semi-myopic case, when the discount factor is up to ≈ 0.770018. We also present a randomized algorithm that achieves better performance than the best possible deterministic algorithm, for any discount rate.

1 Introduction

We study the problem of scheduling transactions with deadlines. In this problem, an algorithm is tasked with scheduling transactions, each represented by its deadline t, also known as its time to live (TTL), and its value ϕ, with the goal of maximizing the value of transactions that are scheduled before their TTL ends. The number of transactions which can be scheduled at any given time is limited and the algorithm is unaware of the future schedule of transactions.

\ This formulation can be applied to a variety of settings, where our main interest lies in a blockchain miner’s decision to allocate transactions to size limited blocks [Rou20], but a rich literature exists that studies this problem in the context of packet scheduling, ride-sharing, and so on. In the blockchain setting, a transaction’s value is the fee the miner can collect by allocating it, and its TTL is a user defined parameter that specifies the time window within which it can be included in a block, after which it expires and does not incur fees. Notably, Ethereum users can submit expiring transactions using service providers such as Flashbots [fla23], with certain blockchains supporting this functionality by default, like Zcash [Gra18].

\ Importantly, miners may have a preference to obtaining profits earlier rather than later, as these can be used to increase future profits, for example by depositing them as stake, or in other interestbearing instruments. This means that the value of transactions that are allocated in the future should be discounted. We show that solutions explored by previous literature, while enjoying good performance in the undiscounted case, need to be adapted, or will otherwise perform suboptimally in the discounted setting.

1.1 Our Approach

There are two aspects that require consideration when analyzing the decision-making problem for miners in TFMs. One, which is not discussed here, is that of strategic manipulations: either by the users (“shading” the transaction fees they bid), or by the miners, that may deviate from the intended allocation protocol. Though we do not explicitly incorporate the latter in the model, the implications of our results for this point are discussed in further detail in Section 5. The other uncertainty, which is the focus of this work, is miners’ limited knowledge of future transactions. We find that a competitive ratio analysis is a natural method to study this problem [BE05].

\ We consider a model where users have a single-minded value, composed of a fee they are willing to pay, and a deadline within which the transaction needs to be accepted to be valuable. Miners apply a discount rate to future revenue. Each transaction’s fee thus “decays” by a global discount factor λ < 1 at each time step until the transaction expires. This models the preference of a miner to receive revenue earlier rather than later, as dependent on the economy’s interest rate. Specifically in cryptocurrencies, miners may use “early” revenue to increase mining profits, for example by using it as stake in Proof-of-Stake (PoS) protocols, or to purchase additional mining equipment. Such considerations were not accounted for in the TFM literature thus far, but are common in the economic literature, in particular in the study of repeated auctions [DMSW21] and of the economic aspects of blockchains [SU19; PW21; YZ20; YTZ22]. Another discount factor we should consider is the miner ratio, as a miner may know with certainty that they will get the revenue of the upcoming transaction, but only have a probability α of mining any other future block. Interestingly, the miner ratio α, which is natural in blockchain settings, fits the notion of “present bias” as used in behavioral economics (see, e.g., [KOR16; OR15]). A present biased agent has a preference for utility in the current step, over future steps. Though our motivation is not behavioral, our analysis ends up being applicable for this possibility of present bias.

\

:::info This paper is available on arxiv under CC BY 4.0 DEED license.

:::

\

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.
Share Insights

You May Also Like

The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For

The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For

The post The Channel Factories We’ve Been Waiting For appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Visions of future technology are often prescient about the broad strokes while flubbing the details. The tablets in “2001: A Space Odyssey” do indeed look like iPads, but you never see the astronauts paying for subscriptions or wasting hours on Candy Crush.  Channel factories are one vision that arose early in the history of the Lightning Network to address some challenges that Lightning has faced from the beginning. Despite having grown to become Bitcoin’s most successful layer-2 scaling solution, with instant and low-fee payments, Lightning’s scale is limited by its reliance on payment channels. Although Lightning shifts most transactions off-chain, each payment channel still requires an on-chain transaction to open and (usually) another to close. As adoption grows, pressure on the blockchain grows with it. The need for a more scalable approach to managing channels is clear. Channel factories were supposed to meet this need, but where are they? In 2025, subnetworks are emerging that revive the impetus of channel factories with some new details that vastly increase their potential. They are natively interoperable with Lightning and achieve greater scale by allowing a group of participants to open a shared multisig UTXO and create multiple bilateral channels, which reduces the number of on-chain transactions and improves capital efficiency. Achieving greater scale by reducing complexity, Ark and Spark perform the same function as traditional channel factories with new designs and additional capabilities based on shared UTXOs.  Channel Factories 101 Channel factories have been around since the inception of Lightning. A factory is a multiparty contract where multiple users (not just two, as in a Dryja-Poon channel) cooperatively lock funds in a single multisig UTXO. They can open, close and update channels off-chain without updating the blockchain for each operation. Only when participants leave or the factory dissolves is an on-chain transaction…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:09
Share
BlackRock boosts AI and US equity exposure in $185 billion models

BlackRock boosts AI and US equity exposure in $185 billion models

The post BlackRock boosts AI and US equity exposure in $185 billion models appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BlackRock is steering $185 billion worth of model portfolios deeper into US stocks and artificial intelligence. The decision came this week as the asset manager adjusted its entire model suite, increasing its equity allocation and dumping exposure to international developed markets. The firm now sits 2% overweight on stocks, after money moved between several of its biggest exchange-traded funds. This wasn’t a slow shuffle. Billions flowed across multiple ETFs on Tuesday as BlackRock executed the realignment. The iShares S&P 100 ETF (OEF) alone brought in $3.4 billion, the largest single-day haul in its history. The iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) collected $2.3 billion, while the iShares US Equity Factor Rotation Active ETF (DYNF) added nearly $2 billion. The rebalancing triggered swift inflows and outflows that realigned investor exposure on the back of performance data and macroeconomic outlooks. BlackRock raises equities on strong US earnings The model updates come as BlackRock backs the rally in American stocks, fueled by strong earnings and optimism around rate cuts. In an investment letter obtained by Bloomberg, the firm said US companies have delivered 11% earnings growth since the third quarter of 2024. Meanwhile, earnings across other developed markets barely touched 2%. That gap helped push the decision to drop international holdings in favor of American ones. Michael Gates, lead portfolio manager for BlackRock’s Target Allocation ETF model portfolio suite, said the US market is the only one showing consistency in sales growth, profit delivery, and revisions in analyst forecasts. “The US equity market continues to stand alone in terms of earnings delivery, sales growth and sustainable trends in analyst estimates and revisions,” Michael wrote. He added that non-US developed markets lagged far behind, especially when it came to sales. This week’s changes reflect that position. The move was made ahead of the Federal…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 01:44
Share
How Polymarket and Kalshi Are Turning Bets Into Billions

How Polymarket and Kalshi Are Turning Bets Into Billions

The post How Polymarket and Kalshi Are Turning Bets Into Billions appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Fintech The idea that people can trade on the future – from elections to sports scores – has officially gone mainstream. Two of the world’s biggest prediction platforms, Polymarket and Kalshi, just proved it by pulling in multi-billion-dollar backing and rewriting what the next generation of speculation looks like. The Numbers Behind the Mania The surge began when Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), parent of the New York Stock Exchange, quietly led a $2 billion investment into Polymarket, valuing it at a staggering $9 billion. Days later, Kalshi announced a $300 million raise that pushed its own valuation to $5 billion – signaling a market segment no longer confined to crypto’s fringes. Polymarket’s founder, Shayne Coplan, became one of the youngest billionaires in fintech history after the raise – a symbol of just how fast the industry has evolved since the first blockchain-based betting markets appeared a few years ago. Two Paths, One Destination While the companies share the same goal – turning opinions into tradable assets – their philosophies couldn’t be more different. Kalshi operates entirely within the U.S. regulatory perimeter, offering markets through a traditional clearinghouse model that appeals to retail traders on platforms like Robinhood, which recently integrated Kalshi’s markets into its app. Polymarket, in contrast, remains rooted in crypto, running fully onchain where every market and position can be audited on the blockchain. Transparency and decentralization are its calling cards. Their rivalry has quietly become one of the most intriguing duels in financial tech. Kalshi recently flipped the leaderboard, grabbing about 60% of total trading share in September. Yet both platforms hit record volumes, generating more than $1.4 billion in combined activity – proof that the prediction market sector is expanding fast enough for both to win. Speculation Goes Mainstream Once dismissed as internet novelty, prediction markets are…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/10/14 10:06
Share