Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

890 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
CFTC Preemption vs NY Gambling Rules

CFTC Preemption vs NY Gambling Rules

The post CFTC Preemption vs NY Gambling Rules appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi, a prediction-market operator, filed a lawsuit; specifically it is a federal complaint after New York regulators issued a cease-and-desist order, marking an escalation in disputes over event-based betting in crypto markets. This Kalshi lawsuit raises immediate questions about federal preemption and the scope of state gambling authority. Did the Kalshi lawsuit aim to preempt New York Gaming Commission enforcement? Kalshi brought its case in the Manhattan US District Court on 27 October 2025, asking a federal judge to block a state order that targeted certain sports-related event contracts. The filing seeks emergency relief while the underlying jurisdictional dispute is litigated; the company describes the step as defensive, intended to preserve nationwide operations pending a resolution. The complaint contends the New York Gaming Commission’s cease-and-desist treats activity overseen at the federal level as state gambling, creating a direct conflict that Kalshi says federal law preempts. In this context, the suit frames CFTC supervision as displacing state enforcement authority. Kalshi named state officials including Robert Williams in the filing, accused regulators of overreach and sought emergency relief to block enforcement while the courts consider the jurisdictional question. It should be noted that the complaint follows prior regulatory notices and actions in other states, signalling a broader multi-state enforcement tension rather than a narrow licensing quarrel. In brief: Kalshi argues New York’s order improperly subjects federally supervised event contracts to state gambling law, prompting immediate litigation to preserve nationwide operation. How does the Kalshi lawsuit intersect with CFTC exclusive jurisdiction and prediction market regulation? Kalshi operates as an exchange under oversight by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and the company asserts that designation governs its event markets. The company’s federal registration is central to its claim that state regulators lack authority to treat its contracts as illegal wagering; CFTC oversight, Kalshi…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi lawsuit: 5 things to watch in New York case

Kalshi lawsuit: 5 things to watch in New York case

Kalshi, a prediction-market operator, filed a lawsuit; specifically it is a federal complaint after New York regulators issued a cease-and-desist order, marking an escalation in disputes over event-based betting in crypto markets. This Kalshi lawsuit raises immediate questions about federal preemption and the scope of state gambling authority. Did the Kalshi lawsuit aim to preempt […]

Author: The Cryptonomist
Kalshi Sues New York Regulators, Citing Federal Preemption for Sports Prediction Markets

Kalshi Sues New York Regulators, Citing Federal Preemption for Sports Prediction Markets

The post Kalshi Sues New York Regulators, Citing Federal Preemption for Sports Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Kalshi filed a federal lawsuit against New York regulators to block enforcement of state gambling laws on its sports prediction markets, arguing federal preemption under Commodity Futures Trading Commission oversight provides exclusive jurisdiction. Kalshi acted preemptively after receiving a cease-and-desist letter from the New York State Gaming Commission, aiming to shift focus to federal authority over state regulations. The lawsuit seeks to prevent civil penalties and criminal liability for offering event contracts on sports outcomes. Legal experts note this strategy mirrors successful prior cases in New Jersey and Nevada, where courts granted preliminary injunctions based on swap contract definitions, with over 70% of similar disputes favoring federal preemption arguments per industry analyses. Kalshi lawsuit New York: Event platform sues regulators over sports markets amid federal preemption debate. Learn key legal moves and implications for crypto prediction platforms—stay informed on regulatory battles shaping the industry. What is the Kalshi lawsuit against New York regulators? Kalshi lawsuit New York refers to the federal action initiated by the event-contract platform Kalshi against the New York State Gaming Commission. Filed on Monday following…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Market Eyes Layer Brett as the True Successor to SHIB’s 2021 Rally

Market Eyes Layer Brett as the True Successor to SHIB’s 2021 Rally

The post Market Eyes Layer Brett as the True Successor to SHIB’s 2021 Rally appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crypto News SHIB price prediction pushes holders to Layer Brett $LBRETT. Could this low-gas-fee crypto give Shiba Inu a run for its money? SHIB was one of the trending cryptocurrencies in 2021, when it recorded its all-time high. This subsequently placed the Shiba Inu network on the DeFi scene map. However, the current Shiba Inu price prediction has holders looking at a new contender. Layer Brett $LBRETT, a new Ethereum Layer 2 token, is capturing attention for its fast growth, staking rewards, and community-driven energy. In this piece, we get into whether this dark horse could recreate its more established counterpart’s legendary rally. SHIB Drops 88% From 2021 Peak: Analysts Predict Modest 26% Rise SHIB achieved its all-time high of $0.00008845 back in 2021, sending its Shiba Inu network into the spotlight. Fast-forward to today, and SHIB is trading far below its highs, at $0.00001021, displaying an 88% decline since its ATH and a 42% dip in the past year. This bearish momentum can be attributed to intense competition from newer meme coins, its enormous token supply of over 500 trillion, and waning investor enthusiasm for projects without strong utility. Analysts now forecast SHIB’s price to reach $0.00001295 in the next year, marking a 26% soar from its current value, which isn’t as explosive. With SHIB’s momentum slowing down, more traders are turning their attention to Layer Brett $LBRETT as its possible replacement. With exciting rewards for users and higher staking returns, many believe this could be one of the best cryptos to invest in right now. $LBRETT Positions Itself to Succeed Shiba Inu Compared to SHIB’s 2021 breakout, Layer Brett brings a fresh set of advantages that could make it the next big meme coin story. First, unlike Shiba Inu, which largely operated on older infrastructure, Layer Brett is…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Market Giant Polymarket Gears up for Token Airdrop and VC Windfall

Prediction Market Giant Polymarket Gears up for Token Airdrop and VC Windfall

The post Prediction Market Giant Polymarket Gears up for Token Airdrop and VC Windfall appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. As prediction markets light up with attention, Polymarket’s Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber revealed that the company is gearing up for both a token launch and an airdrop. His announcement lands just as Polymarket enters early talks to secure new funding at a far loftier valuation—fresh off the heels of Intercontinental Exchange’s hefty $2 billion […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-market-giant-polymarket-gears-up-for-token-airdrop-and-vc-windfall/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
DraftKings Enters Prediction Markets as Bitcoin Miner Canaan Rebounds, Zelle Eyes Stablecoins

DraftKings Enters Prediction Markets as Bitcoin Miner Canaan Rebounds, Zelle Eyes Stablecoins

The post DraftKings Enters Prediction Markets as Bitcoin Miner Canaan Rebounds, Zelle Eyes Stablecoins appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → DraftKings’ acquisition of Railbird marks its entry into prediction markets, while Canaan rebounds from delisting risks and Zelle integrates stablecoins for cross-border payments, highlighting key shifts in publicly traded crypto companies this week. DraftKings acquires Railbird to expand into prediction markets without risking existing sports betting licenses. Canaan, a Bitcoin mining rig maker, regains Nasdaq compliance and sees analyst upgrades amid rising Bitcoin interest. Zelle, backed by major banks, adopts stablecoins to enhance faster international money transfers, tapping into growing stablecoin volumes. Explore the latest in Public Keys: DraftKings enters prediction markets, Canaan turns around, and Zelle boosts stablecoins for global payments. Stay ahead in crypto news—read now for key insights! (148 characters) What are the latest developments in publicly traded crypto companies? Publicly traded crypto companies are making headlines with strategic moves this week. DraftKings has acquired prediction market platform Railbird to diversify its offerings, Canaan has recovered from near-delisting to gain analyst support, and Zelle is integrating stablecoins to streamline cross-border payments. These developments reflect growing mainstream adoption of blockchain technologies in finance and gaming. COINOTAG recommends…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Polymarket Prepares POLY Token as Airdrop Buzz Builds

Polymarket Prepares POLY Token as Airdrop Buzz Builds

The post Polymarket Prepares POLY Token as Airdrop Buzz Builds appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber has confirmed plans to launch a native POLY token and airdrop, marking the company’s first official acknowledgment of long-rumored tokenization. The move comes as the prediction-market platform hits record trading levels and attracts new institutional attention following a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange, the parent of the New York Stock Exchange. Sponsored Sponsored Token Launch Confirmed as Prediction Markets Expand “There will be a token, um, there will be an airdrop,” Modabber said on the Degenz Live podcast. “We really pride ourselves on being the most thorough company. We could have launched a token anytime, but we want it to have true utility and longevity—to be around forever. That’s what we expect from ourselves, and that’s what everyone in the space expects from us.” Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan had teased the launch earlier, but Modabber’s comments confirmed growing expectations across the crypto community. He noted that the company’s current focus is on relaunching its US app, which recently received regulatory clearance after a 2022 halt. “Why rush a token if we need to prioritize the US app?” Modabber said. Sponsored Sponsored Rising Volumes and Institutional Backing Fuel Optimism Speculation about the airdrop has intensified. Traders suggest allocations could depend on trading history. The announcement follows a surge in prediction-market activity, with Polymarket and Kalshi logging $2.9 billion and $1.4 billion in volume last month. Polymarket’s active user base and wallet distribution. Source: Didi on X Community data shows Polymarket hosts 1.35 million active traders. Only 0.5% of wallets earn over $1,000, and just 1.7% trade more than $50,000. Analysts say this spread means a potential POLY airdrop could reach hundreds of thousands if rewards favor active users. One DeFi researcher on X wrote, “Polymarket could easily end up being the biggest airdrop ever.”…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Crypto News: Polymarket Prepares POLY Token Launch as $2 Billion Backing Spurs Airdrop

Crypto News: Polymarket Prepares POLY Token Launch as $2 Billion Backing Spurs Airdrop

BPolymarket prepares to launch POLY token and airdrop backed by $2B investment from ICE, fueling its growth in prediction markets.   Polymarket is set to launch its native POLY token, following a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), which is expected to fuel the platform’s expansion.  The announcement has sparked significant anticipation, with speculation […] The post Crypto News: Polymarket Prepares POLY Token Launch as $2 Billion Backing Spurs Airdrop appeared first on Live Bitcoin News.

Author: LiveBitcoinNews
Polymarket plans to roll out POLY token and user airdrop amid surging trading activity

Polymarket plans to roll out POLY token and user airdrop amid surging trading activity

The post Polymarket plans to roll out POLY token and user airdrop amid surging trading activity appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Polymarket CMO confirms the introduction of the POLY token for their prediction market platform. The company is prioritizing its US market relaunch before proceeding with the token launch. Matthew Modabber, Chief Marketing Officer of Polymarket, a leading prediction market platform, on Thursday confirmed plans for their POLY token and an upcoming airdrop amid growing interest in prediction markets. However, the firm’s current goal is to reestablish its presence in the US, with the token launch expected to come afterward. Polymarket recently secured a deal with the Intercontinental Exchange, enhancing its credibility and access to broader financial ecosystems. The partnership underscores the platform’s positioning during the current prediction market boom. The announcement comes as the prediction market sector experiences surging interest, with platforms capitalizing on community speculation around various projects and airdrop opportunities. Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/polymarket-poly-token-airdrop-prediction-markets/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Is DraftKings Facing Threat from Prediction Markets? What’s behind the Move

Is DraftKings Facing Threat from Prediction Markets? What’s behind the Move

The post Is DraftKings Facing Threat from Prediction Markets? What’s behind the Move appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. DraftKings:- DraftKings is making a calculated pivot into prediction markets after acquiring CFTC-registered Railbird Technologies. This is a move the sports-betting giant said will power a new “DraftKings Predictions” app for trading event contracts across finance, culture and entertainment. The acquisition, announced Oct. 21, lets DraftKings expand beyond traditional sports wagering into a rapidly growing event-contract market – that too in collaboration with Polymarket. However, this has left to question about why the leading sports betting giant is suddenly turning to decentralised prediction platforms and the event contracts. Our analysis reveals it to falling trading volumes and ultimate revenue threats from prediction markets’ entry into sports. Here’s How DraftKings Facing Threat from Prediction Markets A Block of Fame report earlier predicted that traditional sports betting platforms such as DraftKings and FanDuel are facing falling revenue threats as leading prediction markets – Kalshi and Polymarket – move deeper into sports betting arena via event contracts. Both the prediciton market players have brought in or partner with sports leagues such as NHL and PPA & MLP to penetrate more deeper into other sports categories. For instance, Kalshi, which initially built its business around political-event contracts, is pivoting into sports – notably football (NFL) and other major U.S. leagues. More than three-quarters of Kalshi’s volume is now sports-driven according to the report. While Kalshi is still much smaller in scale than legacy sportsbooks but its model – users trading contracts against each other rather than betting “against the house” –  is attracting interest. The particular case study came to light on NFL Sunday 2025 when the prediction market reportedly achieved $260 million in trades on Saturday and ~$275 million on Sunday in event contracts across sports, marking a significant uptick. Contrastingly, on the same event, Flutter Entertainment (FanDuel’s parent) shares declined by up…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews