Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

888 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
DraftKings partners with Polymarket Clearing as it enters prediction markets

DraftKings partners with Polymarket Clearing as it enters prediction markets

The post DraftKings partners with Polymarket Clearing as it enters prediction markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Polymarket acts as DraftKings’ clearinghouse as it expands into prediction markets. DraftKings acquired Railbird to launch its own prediction market offerings beyond sports, covering finance, culture, and entertainment. DraftKings, a sports betting company, has partnered with Polymarket, a prediction market platform, as it enters the prediction markets space. DraftKings acquired Railbird to launch its own prediction markets focused on finance, culture, and entertainment events. The company is positioning itself to compete with established players like Polymarket in non-sports event trading. Polymarket was recently greenlit by the CFTC for US operations. The platform has formed strategic partnerships with major entities, including becoming X’s official prediction market partner to integrate real-time forecasting into user discussions. The prediction market platform has also partnered with the NHL for official branding in sports-related forecasting and formed alliances with platforms like Stocktwits to embed real-time event probabilities directly into community conversations. Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/draftkings-polymarket-prediction-markets-partnership/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
NHL Taps Polymarket and Kalshi as Official Prediction Market Partners

NHL Taps Polymarket and Kalshi as Official Prediction Market Partners

The post NHL Taps Polymarket and Kalshi as Official Prediction Market Partners appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The National Hockey League (NHL) said it has inked landmark multiyear U.S. partnerships with Polymarket and Kalshi on Wednesday, naming the two prediction market platforms as its official partners in a move that bridges professional sports and event-based trading. Prediction Markets Hit the Ice: NHL Seals Deal With Polymarket and Kalshi The agreements grant Polymarket […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/nhl-taps-polymarket-and-kalshi-as-official-prediction-market-partners/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
World Expands Into Prediction Markets With Polymarket

World Expands Into Prediction Markets With Polymarket

The post World Expands Into Prediction Markets With Polymarket appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. This integration allows users to bet on global events using USDC or its native WLD token. The partnership is part of World’s push beyond identity verification into decentralized applications, and it follows a milestone of 100 million Mini App downloads. At the same time, Jupiter, the Solana-based decentralized exchange, launched its own prediction market focused on the upcoming Formula One Mexico Grand Prix. Powered by Kalshi, the initiative combines regulatory credibility and on-chain efficiency to deliver a fast, transparent, and engaging trading experience. With prediction markets hitting record volumes above $2 billion in weekly trades, driven by platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, these integrations show how decentralized ecosystems are changing into vibrant hubs where finance, entertainment, and real-world events intersect. World App Adds Polymarket World, the digital identity project that was founded by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, is moving into prediction markets through a new integration with Polymarket. The partnership was announced on Tuesday, and it brings Polymarket’s betting functionality directly to the World App. This allows users to place wagers on global events using Circle’s USDC stablecoin or World’s native WLD token. Announcement from World According to the announcement, the Polymarket Mini App is now available in the World App in countries where the service is permitted. Users in restricted areas, including New York state, will not have access to WLD due to regulatory limitations around token distribution. The company clarified that “World Assets and World Foundation are not responsible for the availability of WLD on third-party platforms.” The move is part of World’s growing ambition to expand beyond its original digital identity vision and into broader decentralized applications. It also follows a big milestone earlier this month when the company surpassed 100 million Mini App downloads.  The Mini App ecosystem was launched in October of 2024, and it…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Bitcoin Price Prediction Markets Are Flashing A Signal

Bitcoin Price Prediction Markets Are Flashing A Signal

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction Markets Are Flashing A Signal appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin Price Prediction Markets have become an emerging tool for gauging sentiment and price expectations in real time. Traders on platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi wager on Bitcoin’s future price outcomes, producing aggregated odds that reflect where market participants believe BTC is heading. As trading volumes expand and odds shift with volatility, these prediction markets are gaining credibility as a forward-looking sentiment gauge for the Bitcoin economy. Extracting Bitcoin Price Alpha In early October, traders on Polymarket were betting that BTC would close 2025 around $144,000, but as volatility picked up and BTC dipped, that forecast has since slipped closer to $129,000. These odds update in real time, meaning they reflect the collective positioning and sentiment of thousands of participants and millions of dollars. By tracking the ratio between BTC’s spot price and the predicted year-end price, clear sentiment trends begin to emerge. When this ratio spikes, meaning the spot price trades well below the market’s forecast, it often reflects a period of excessive fear or undervaluation. Conversely, when BTC trades close to the predicted price, the market tends to be overheated and nearer to local peaks. Normalizing this data to account for how prediction volatility narrows as the year progresses gives an even clearer signal. The top percentile of days, where the ratio shows the widest gap between prediction and spot, has historically aligned with market lows, and vice-versa for the lowest percentile of days aligning with local highs. Comparing Bitcoin Price Prediction Accuracy Despite the impressive 91% accuracy figure often cited by Polymarket, deeper analysis shows that this number is inflated by markets with extreme odds — scenarios like “Bitcoin to hit $250,000 by year-end,” which overwhelmingly resolve to “no.” Removing these outliers gives a more realistic accuracy rate closer to 71% for BTC-related prediction markets, still…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Jupiter DEX Kalshi-Powered Prediction Market for F1 Mexico Grand Prix Winner

Jupiter DEX Kalshi-Powered Prediction Market for F1 Mexico Grand Prix Winner

The post Jupiter DEX Kalshi-Powered Prediction Market for F1 Mexico Grand Prix Winner appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Jupiter, a Solana-based decentralized exchange (DEX), started a prediction market with the inaugural event tied to the outcome of the forthcoming Formual One Mexico Grand Prix. The platform, powered by Kalshi, a leader in event-driven trading, invites fans and traders to speculate on whether their preferred driver, including Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, Oscar Piastri, George Russell or others will claim victory. The race will take place on Oct. 27, starting at 19:00 UTC and will comprise 71 laps. The Kalshi backing is crucial because it brings established liquidity and regulatory compliance to the market, enhancing trust and stability for users. This could transform how users engage with real-world events by offering fast, low-cost, and transparent betting. The prediction market industry has seen rapid growth as it combines elements of finance, gaming and social engagement, allowing users to speculate on real-world events with transparency and liquidity. According to Dune Analytics, leading platforms Kalshi and Polymarket together recently registered a record weekly trading volume of over $2 billion. Market participants can buy and sell “yes” and “no” shares on a variety of choices tied to the Grand Prix winner. Prices of these shares are determined by demand and supply, with traders retaining the flexibility to exit positions at any time before the end of the betting contract. At the conclusion of the event, winning positions pay out $1 each, while bets that turned out to be wrong expire worthless. As a beta offering, Jupiter has implemented initial trading limits to ensure market stability, including a global maximum of 100,000 contracts and a maximum of 1,000 contracts per individual position. Source: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/10/22/solana-based-jupiter-dex-kalshi-powered-prediction-market-for-f1-mexico-grand-prix-winner

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Solana’s Jupiter Could Offer Native Prediction Market Powered by Kalshi Data, Beta Focused on Mexico Grand Prix Winner

Solana’s Jupiter Could Offer Native Prediction Market Powered by Kalshi Data, Beta Focused on Mexico Grand Prix Winner

The post Solana’s Jupiter Could Offer Native Prediction Market Powered by Kalshi Data, Beta Focused on Mexico Grand Prix Winner appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Jupiter is launching a native prediction market on Solana powered by Kalshi data, enabling yes/no bets on real-world events with on-chain settlement. Prices update in real time, and resolutions occur on-chain after events conclude, expanding Jupiter beyond swaps and liquidity aggregation for retail traders. Native prediction markets on Solana powered by Kalshi data: Jupiter integrates real-world event resolution with on-chain trading, bringing transparent pricing and liquidity to the new product). Beta launch focused on sports events: The initial market tests the Mexico Grand Prix winner with yes/no tokens and live price discovery. Market momentum driven by micro-betting trends: Industry data suggests growing retail interest and potential revenue growth into 2025 and 2026, supported by on-chain reporting and data liquidity. description: Jupiter launches a native prediction market on Solana powered by Kalshi data, delivering real-time on-chain bets with transparent resolutions—read the update now. COINOTAG recommends • Professional traders group 💎 Join a professional trading community Work with senior traders, research‑backed setups, and risk‑first frameworks. 👉 Join the group → COINOTAG recommends • Professional traders group 📊 Transparent performance, real process…

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Jupiter DEX launches on-chain prediction market built on Kalshi

Jupiter DEX launches on-chain prediction market built on Kalshi

The post Jupiter DEX launches on-chain prediction market built on Kalshi appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Jupiter, one of Solana’s leading trading and aggregation apps, will add a native prediction market. The new service will be powered by Kalshi data.  Jupiter, Solana’s leading aggregator and one of the most active DEXs, will add its native prediction markets. The platform will use data from Kalshi to open its first natively accessible prediction market.  Jupiter announced the recent beta launch, opening the DEX platform to trading sports events.  Max Verstappen, or Lando Norris? Oscar Piastri or George Russell? Jupiter’s first ever Prediction Market is now LIVE (in beta). Powered by @Kalshi liquidity, you can trade on the F1 Mexico Grand Prix Winner 👇 pic.twitter.com/HaY8LnsThO — Jupiter (🐱, 🐐) (@JupiterExchange) October 22, 2025 Jupiter has taken up Kalshi’s sports events data, which puts the platform in the lead based on volumes and the size of the market. Kalshi has specialized in sports betting as a way to get ahead of Polymarket’s political predictions.  As with other markets, Jupiter will offer the trading of ‘yes’ and ‘no’ tokens, with fluctuating prices until the event resolution. The prediction market testing has started with a single prediction on the winner of the Mexico Grand Prix.  The addition of Kalshi to Jupiter’s app follows the MetaMask integration of the Polymarket prediction platform. Additionally, Polymarket is now accessible on Solana, not requiring the bridging of stablecoins. Kalshi and Polymarket battle for retail users The relatively liberal approach to prediction markets in the USA has led the two major platforms into a bidding war for the attention of retail. The platforms are still facing problems with resolution and oracle results, with some issues contested by the community.  I lost $2k last night because @Kalshi decided that Trump did not say “Mamdani” here This market was at 95% on yes before Kalshi arbitrarily decided to overturn…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Draftkings Enters Prediction Markets Race With Railbird Acquisition

Draftkings Enters Prediction Markets Race With Railbird Acquisition

The post Draftkings Enters Prediction Markets Race With Railbird Acquisition appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Draftkings Inc. has officially entered the regulated prediction markets arena with its Oct. 21 acquisition of Railbird Technologies Inc. and its subsidiary Railbird Exchange, LLC, expanding beyond its traditional sports betting, daily fantasy, and iGaming operations. Draftkings Expands Beyond Sports Betting With Railbird Deal Draftkings’ (Nasdaq: DKNG) move marks a strategic leap into a growing […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/draftkings-enters-prediction-markets-race-with-railbird-acquisition/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Here Is How Long U.S. Government Shutdown Will be: Asia Morning Briefing

Here Is How Long U.S. Government Shutdown Will be: Asia Morning Briefing

The post Here Is How Long U.S. Government Shutdown Will be: Asia Morning Briefing appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Good Morning, Asia. Here’s what’s making news in the markets: Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas. Prediction market bettors are growing increasingly convinced that the U.S. government shutdown will make history. Contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in a resumption of government after 40 days, surpassing the 35-day record set in 2019. Traders on Polymarket assign the highest probability to a resolution around November 15, while Kalshi’s duration market forecasts an average length of 41.6 days, which would bring it to November 11. (Kalshi) Even as much of Washington grinds to a halt, with nearly a million federal employees either furloughed or working without pay, the Federal Reserve remains insulated. The central bank operates independently from congressional appropriations, meaning it can still hold policy meetings and adjust rates during a shutdown. Polymarket bettors assign a 96% chance of a 25-basis-point cut at the upcoming October 29 FOMC meeting, followed by an 85% chance of another quarter-point cut in December. The challenge is informational: with jobs, inflation, and GDP reports delayed, the Fed may be forced to make back-to-back cuts based on incomplete data. It may be entirely coincidental, but the last prolonged shutdown in 2018–2019 aligned with Bitcoin’s bear-market bottom, when BTC fell to just above $3,000 before rebounding strongly after the government reopened. This time, the shutdown has coincided with a record rally in gold, now above $4,200 per ounce, and a massive $20 billion crypto leverage flush that has reset derivatives markets. Market Movement BTC: Bitcoin is trading above $108,000, slipping 1.8% as traders unwound weekend gains and risk sentiment weakened, with renewed macro uncertainty and cooling ETF inflows…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Drives Over $3B Notional Volume in Q3 2025 Prediction Markets as Polymarket Expands US Access

Kalshi Drives Over $3B Notional Volume in Q3 2025 Prediction Markets as Polymarket Expands US Access

The post Kalshi Drives Over $3B Notional Volume in Q3 2025 Prediction Markets as Polymarket Expands US Access appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → Crypto prediction markets are platforms where traders buy and sell contracts on real-world event outcomes, aggregating insight into prices. In Q3 2025, Kalshi and Polymarket posted record notional volumes surpassing $3 billion, signaling broader participation and regulatory evolution as Wall Street players enter the arena. Surging notional volumes driven by sports betting and retail traders Regulatory divergence: federally licensed Kalshi vs. offshore Polymarket and shifting licensing dynamics Strategic investments and acquisitions signaling deeper market integration Crypto prediction markets surge as Kalshi and Polymarket post record volumes; explore regulatory shifts, market dynamics, and what this means for investors. What is crypto prediction markets? Crypto prediction markets are platforms that let users trade contracts on the outcomes of real-world events, aggregating information into prices. In recent quarters, these markets have surged as mainstream platforms and institutional investors enter the space, while regulatory and licensing dynamics shape access. COINOTAG recommends • Professional traders group 💎 Join a professional trading community Work with senior traders, research‑backed setups, and risk‑first frameworks. 👉 Join the group → COINOTAG recommends • Professional traders group 📊 Transparent…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews